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Session Fib Grid Trend Power bias and Signal Age explained

October 21, 2022 by AFT

USAR Trend Bias and Signal Age

So, what are these numbers and where do they come from?

AFT8 TrendOmeter Grid
AFT8 TrendOmeter Grid for the NinjaTrader desktop trading platform – multi-session, multi-timeframe technicals, and trend correlations.
  • Fib Grid is a map/contextual view of the market, with price normalized as a percentage. This is an adaptive formula computed at the session start. Price moves within the grid, which is static all session. 0% is the open, F100% is the projected high, and -F100% is the projected low.
  • Trend Bias Power is a non-lagging real-time expression of the current trend/force. It is a volatility dynamic calculation on each market data change. Price moves within the grid of bands during the bar – 0% is the band, 100% is the outer volatility bands.
  • Signal Age marks when the trend began and if it’s valid or invalid, also known as a “black hole.”

TrendOmeter runs in the NT8 market analyzer and is aimed at high-spec, low-latency gaming desktop PCs and laptops, as it will lag up NinjaTrader 8 and slow down data processing on the system. AFT comes with lite workspaces to avoid this issue, and users can also use the AWT TrendOmeter system, which is lag-free and is a far more sophisticated system for web, desktop, and mobile. AFT8 will link via an API to AWT to allow filtering and signals off AWT.

Alpha Web Trader - TrendOmeter
Alpha Web Trader – TrendOmeter provides a lag-free aggregated instrument and multi-timeframe vertical and horizontal view of the market.
AlphaBias
https://alphawebtrader.com/alphabias shows the trend bias power and the Signal Age view in one screen.

AWT Advanced TrendOmeter is lag-free and will not slow down the PC or NinjaTrader. https://alphawebtrader.com/trendometer TrendOmeter here is showing 13 timeframes using Trend Bias Power. These timeframes are actually aggregations of related instruments and other timeframes combined from around 25 time series and different measurement studies. It is a pivot of the AlphaBias view: https://alphawebtrader.com/alphabias. AWT aggregates instruments such as SPY, VOO, IVV into one stream and aggregates the technicals for TrendOmeter and AlphaBias, so it would use the parent instrument, e.g., SPY, as the display. ES, SP, MES, for example. AWT also uses its own data stream and analytics engine, so it’s roughly equivalent to what you can see in AFT but never exact. AWT shows us breadth and depth based on correlations.

Trend Bias Power and Signal Age
Trend Bias Power and Signal Age provide a 2D view of the trend. The signal age shows trend start and when the trend is invalid as a black hole.

Trend Bias Power % In the chart of the 720min with the USAR indicator, we can see the mid-band is 0%, the upper band 1 is +100%, and the lower band 1 is -100%. Price moves from the mid-band out, so we can normalize price as a percentage. The bands are volatility intervals from the band, so it moves and adapts with the market price cycles of range. TSI/TA comes from this. Trend Bias Power is similar to the Fib Grid in some parts based on volatility and the relation of price within, but it is calculated and moves with the market on each bar. The Trend Bias Power % band could be any number of technical studies. Some examples typically for Moving Averages we use 20, 21, 34, 55 SMA, EMA, WMA with a 1 ATR band to define the 100% above and below -100%. For USAR, we use 1ATR, 1.25, 1.5, and 2.0 with a 1ATR volatility band to define the 100% zone. AFT8 focuses on USAR, Keltner wave, and MA Bands in the AFT8 indicators. Our measurements TA% and TSI come from Trend Bias Power.
Signal Age measures when the trend started and how old it is. SA% comes from this, etc. A black hole is where the signal, for example, is short when the trend first began, but if the trend is contra trend signal direction and it is losing, then it is an invalid trend and marked as a black hole. It could mean the system is transitioning and reversing or in a pullback. So we can focus on the confluence of winning valid trends and ignore or wait for the black holes to go green or red. A mixed view would be green, black, and red. A significant trend direction would be all one color.

Session Fib Grid
Session Fib Grid is a map of the monthly, weekly, or daily sessions with price normalized as a percentage, calculated at the start of each session and fixed.

Fib Grid is a map of the market with price normalized as a percentage, computed at the session start. Price moves within the grid. Fib Grid’s 0% stays static, whereas the Trend Bias’s 0% moves as the anchor point, typically some kind of band average moves with price. SFG uses the daily, weekly, monthly typical ranges usually above and below, but it can use different. So 0 is the open, +100 is the projected high, and -100 is the projected low. Other fib numbers are put in as intervals and no trade zone, and the rest is just statistical.

Trend Bias Power, Signal Age, and Session Fib Grid combined give a good view of the session price position and the trend flow, etc. So now we can move away from the old, stuck-in-the-mud classical lagging systems and start to build a 3D view, especially with other related instruments and order/speed, and so on. Get started 100% free until you decide with AFT Trading System.

Filed Under: AFT8, Algo Futures Trader, NinjaTrader 8 Tagged With: Session Fib Grid, Signal Age, Trend Bias Power


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